Twelve Promises of Peace, $4 Gasoline: the Bill of War Arrives at the Pump
Trump opens to peace without Hormuz, but a drone strikes Dubai. US gasoline at $4, EU inflation at 2.5%, gold worst month since 2008. The structural cost of war.
FINBEAR
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Oil at $112, Houthis at War, and Trump Wants Kharg Island: The Week With a Timer
Short week, long risk. Houthis enter the war, Trump tells the FT he wants Iran’s oil, VIX explodes to 31, and Nonfarm Payrolls drop on Good Friday with markets shut. The FINBEAR plan is defensive — and the timer is already running.
VIX at 31 and oil at 101 rise with the dollar: charts spell stagflation across 17 assets
The CTM Classic for the week of March 29, 2026 reveals a coherent risk-off regime across all 17 assets, with a stagflationary component documented by the anomalous oil/dollar correlation. VIX and MOVE above critical thresholds, crypto in synchronized bear market, equities at extreme oversold with SOX as the only neutral pivot.
Brent at $107 and Macquarie Sees $200: the Strait of Hormuz Is the New Berlin Wall of Markets
Thursday’s session closed under broad-based pressure: S&P 500 shed 1.74%, Nasdaq sank 2.38% on converging fears of persistent inflation (OECD at 4.2%), oil war in the Middle East (Brent above $107), and a landmark anti-tech addiction verdict. The bifurcation between safe havens and growth assets is now structural.
Hormuz shut, gold in forced liquidation: welcome to the Great Synchronized Selloff
RADAR DAILY™ FINBEAR — Thursday, March 26, 2026 Oil is the new fear thermometer. And it’s running a fever. 📑 Index ⚡ In 20 Seconds ↑ Back to index 📌 Key Indicators Dashboard Close-of-session data, March 25, 2026. Indicator Value Change Signal S&P 500 6,591.90 0.00% ⚪ Nasdaq Composite 21,929.83 0.00% ⚪ Dow Jones 46,429.49 […]
ADX 37 on SPX, VIX accelerating: the market isn’t buying the dip, it’s selling the rally
The March 25 CTM Signal reads 9 assets, 12 indicators each, 18 charts: equity in structural sell-off with ADX 35–37, VIX accelerating at ADX 41, gold in forced liquidation from its peak. The market is not buying the dip — it’s selling the rally.
Trump Delays Iran Strikes but Tehran Denies Everything: The Gulf on a Wire While AI Spends $33 Billion Like War Doesn’t Exist
RADAR DAILY™ FINBEAR — Tuesday, March 24, 2026 ⚡ In 20 Seconds 📌 Key Indicators Dashboard Indicator Close 3/23 Chg % Live 3/24 Signal Source S&P 500 6,581.00 — Futures 6,623.75 (-0.17%) 🟢/🔴 Nasdaq Composite 21,946.76 — Futures 24,388.75 (-0.08%) ⚪/🔴 Dow Jones 46,208.47 — Futures 46,413.00 (-0.23%) ⚪/🔴 VIX 26.15 -2.35% 26.35 (+0.76%) 🔴 […]
The Pentagon Wants $200 Billion, Super Micro’s Co-Founder Is in Handcuffs, and $5.7 Trillion in Options Expire Today: Welcome to the Cost Phase
RADAR DAILY™ FINBEAR — March 20, 2026 Markets enter Friday March 20 facing an explosive cocktail: the Iran-Israel war marks Nowruz with missiles on Gulf refineries, the Pentagon asks Congress for $200 billion, and Wall Street braces for the largest March Triple Witching in history — $5.7 trillion in expiring options. The Gulf war has […]
Larijani Killed, 100+ Missiles Fly, and the Market Bets on Peace: the Most Dangerous Divergence of 2026
RADAR DAILY™ FINBEAR — March 18, 2026 📡 RADAR DAILY™ FINBEAR — March 18, 2026 <a id=”index”></a> 📑 Index # Section Go 1 In 20 Seconds ⚡ 2 Key Indicators Dashboard 📌 3 Executive Summary 🎯 4 Larijani Killed 🏛️ 5 Fed Day 💰 6 Oil & SPR 🔋 7 Meta Cuts 16,000 🧾 8 […]
Follow the money, find the compromise: ETS rhetoric dismantled three days before Brussels
FINBEAR Analysis — March 18, 2026 Follow the money, find the compromise: ETS rhetoric dismantled three days before Brussels When you strip the rhetoric and read the mechanisms, facts don’t surprise you — they confirm your reading. Three days. That’s how long Brussels took to confirm, point by point, the analysis we published on March […]