Iran talks collapsed, the US naval blockade on Hormuz is live, and oil opens with a +7% gap-up. Tuesday’s March PPI completes the inflation picture after CPI printed +3.3%. Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, TSMC, and Netflix all report in a five-session week with no breathing room. The RADAR Week Ahead maps regime, technicals across 8 core assets, macro calendar, positioning, and scenarios for a week that may define the tone of Q2.
Wall Street staged the biggest rally of the year on a US-Iran ceasefire that lasted twelve hours. WTI crashed 16.4% — worst since 2020 — then bounced as Hormuz re-closed and Israel launched 100+ airstrikes on Lebanon. The market bought a peace that never existed.
The US-Iran ceasefire reopens Hormuz and triggers oil’s worst crash since 1991. Global equity surges, Samsung posts a record $38B quarterly profit on AI chips, and SpaceX files the largest IPO in history. But the truce lasts only two weeks — and gold rising alongside equity says the market has removed the panic mask without putting on the confidence one.
Wall Street posts its best week since the Iran conflict began — then Good Friday drops four information bombs on closed markets: two American warplanes shot down, NFP nearly triple consensus, the largest military budget in history, and an Iranian deadline 48 hours away. Monday the market must choose which story to believe.
Oil explodes in a single session (+11.41%) and the dollar climbs alongside it — a combination the charts haven’t printed in years. The FINBEAR Cross-Technical Matrix dissects 17 assets through 24 indicators and 4 technical layers: the verdict is technical stagflation, with equity in confirmed bear trend and SOX as the panel’s sole constructive anomaly.
Trump opens to peace without Hormuz, but a drone strikes Dubai. US gasoline at $4, EU inflation at 2.5%, gold worst month since 2008. The structural cost of war.
RADAR DAILY™ FINBEAR — Tuesday, March 24, 2026 ⚡ In 20 Seconds 📌 Key Indicators Dashboard Indicator Close 3/23 Chg % Live 3/24 Signal Source S&P 500 6,581.00 — Futures 6,623.75 (-0.17%) 🟢/🔴 Nasdaq Composite 21,946.76 — Futures 24,388.75 (-0.08%) ⚪/🔴 Dow Jones 46,208.47 — Futures 46,413.00 (-0.23%) ⚪/🔴 VIX 26.15 -2.35% 26.35 (+0.76%) 🔴 […]