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RADAR Daily RADAR FINBEAR

Record Broadcom Sold, Bitcoin Eyeing 60,000: The Market Now Grades Expectations, Not Facts

The day the beat stopped being enough: Broadcom delivers the strongest quarter in its history — AI revenue at $10.8 billion (+143%), orders past $30 billion — and gets sold because its guidance, up 200%, misses the most aggressive expectations. At the other pole, crypto breaks the floor: Bitcoin at its lowest since February, down to 61,338 overnight, liquidations past $1.1 billion, the fear index at 11 and Cardano at a five-year low. In between, the first real de-escalation: a conditional Israel-Lebanon ceasefire and a 215-208 House vote against the war with Iran — Brent back against the Pretore’s stop. The Pretore flips volatility and gold upward (protection bought back), the Compass shifts to CONTESTED, SpaceX opens its $75 billion fixed-price roadshow. Tomorrow at 8:30 ET, the NFP referees.

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RADAR FINBEAR

Hormuz Sealed, AI in Orbit, Main Street on Its Knees

Ten stories, three tectonic fault lines: the Iran-USA war with Hormuz shut and the ceasefire expiring April 21,
an unprecedented AI acceleration (ASML beat, Anthropic $800B, Meta-Broadcom 1 GW, Amazon-Globalstar $11.6B),
and mounting stress on Main Street with 15% of US restaurants at risk of closure. Fear & Loathing returns to NEUTRAL at -8,
but the Crypto Fear & Greed sits at 12 Extreme Fear for 46+ consecutive days. The equity/deep-sentiment dissociation is the structural data point of the day.

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RADAR Week Ahead

Blockade Week

Iran talks collapsed, the US naval blockade on Hormuz is live, and oil opens with a +7% gap-up. Tuesday’s March PPI completes the inflation picture after CPI printed +3.3%. Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, TSMC, and Netflix all report in a five-session week with no breathing room. The RADAR Week Ahead maps regime, technicals across 8 core assets, macro calendar, positioning, and scenarios for a week that may define the tone of Q2.

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RADAR FINBEAR

Hormuz shut again, TSMC +35%, Anthropic Mythos — the market lives in controlled dissociation

The US-Iran ceasefire lasted less than a single trading session. The IRGC shut Hormuz again, Saudi Arabia lost 600,000 barrels per day, WTI hit $97.87 — yet equity looked the other way. TSMC confirmed AI demand is geopolitics-proof (+35% YoY), Burry sank Palantir, and in Washington Bessent and Powell called an emergency meeting with bank CEOs over Anthropic’s Mythos model. The market is living in controlled dissociation — equity celebrates, crypto screams panic.

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RADAR FINBEAR

The Rally That Lasted a Day: Ceasefire Collapses, Oil Whipsaws, and Markets Discover the Fine Print

Wall Street staged the biggest rally of the year on a US-Iran ceasefire that lasted twelve hours. WTI crashed 16.4% — worst since 2020 — then bounced as Hormuz re-closed and Israel launched 100+ airstrikes on Lebanon. The market bought a peace that never existed.

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RADAR FINBEAR

Ceasefire and Oil Crash: The Market Buys Peace with an Expiry Date

The US-Iran ceasefire reopens Hormuz and triggers oil’s worst crash since 1991. Global equity surges, Samsung posts a record $38B quarterly profit on AI chips, and SpaceX files the largest IPO in history. But the truce lasts only two weeks — and gold rising alongside equity says the market has removed the panic mask without putting on the confidence one.

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RADAR Week Ahead

Two F-15s Down, NFP +178K in the Dark, and $1,500 Billion in Bombs: The Week Markets Haven’t Seen Yet

Wall Street posts its best week since the Iran conflict began — then Good Friday drops four information bombs on closed markets: two American warplanes shot down, NFP nearly triple consensus, the largest military budget in history, and an Iranian deadline 48 hours away. Monday the market must choose which story to believe.

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Cross-Technical Matrix Technical Analysis

WTI +11% and the Dollar Rising Together: 17 Assets Spell Stagflation

Oil explodes in a single session (+11.41%) and the dollar climbs alongside it — a combination the charts haven’t printed in years. The FINBEAR Cross-Technical Matrix dissects 17 assets through 24 indicators and 4 technical layers: the verdict is technical stagflation, with equity in confirmed bear trend and SOX as the panel’s sole constructive anomaly.

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